11:00
am
The front's position to the south of DOW2 has changed
very little in the last couple of hours. (By definition, the cold front
is analyzed on a weather map at points where the air temperature starts
to drop off; i.e., the "leading edge" of the cold air. A drop in pressure
and humidity, and also a wind shift also may accompany a cold front.)
This slow movement-and a period of radar-system stability-has finally
allowed me to examine the data more carefully. I've been scanning the
radar in an RHI (range-height indicator) mode, which essentially provides
vertical slices, in this case, through the front.
From
DOW2's viewing perspective, the front-indicated on radar as a layer of
northerly winds, below a layer of more southerly winds-is only 500 meters
deep. I expected a much deeper front. So did the Dave Schultz and others
on the P3, who, because of flight restrictions, couldn't fly low enough
penetrate the front. In fact, these restrictions kept the P3 above the
snow-producing clouds: the tops of the radar echoes, showing approximately
the cloud tops, were only 2.5 to 3 kilometers above the ground. Considering
the very deep thunderstorm clouds, whose tops can extend 12 to 15 kilometers
above the ground, it amazed us that such shallow clouds could be dumping
so much snow in the valley and in the mountains!
The
P3 is scheduled to land at noon. We'll shut down the radars at that time,
in order to conserve resources and also rest for the next and final day
of the project.
Postscript
Once again, I had no problem with the return trip to
Salt Lake City, despite some brief, white-knuckled periods of heavy snow
and low visibility. It felt odd to then return to the hotel in continued
moderate-to-heavy snow, thinking that maybe we should have instead stayed
in Ogden and collected data through the afternoon and early evening-even
though we'd already collected 10 hours worth of data, contributing to
one of the most successful IPEX IOPs! Limited resources and crew fatigue
during late stages of field programs necessitate tough decisions about
operations.
The
next day's event never materialized as advertised by the computer models,
leaving us with lots of retrospective "what ifs" and "we should haves."
And, it served as a reminder that the difficulty with which the computer
models have at accurately predicting precipitation in the Intermountain
West is precisely what motivated IPEX!
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